Shock horror! – Stocks have gone nowhere (slowly) this year.

Amongst all the “sky fell already” comments I read ubiquitously, I wondered is today a welcome timeout for reflection? Perhaps even thanks might be appropriate. So in this short note we try to give some perspective on the “collapse”, and with it draw a deep breath on what might go right in the next few …

Get Active – why Active is in such disarray and how to save it

Investors are disillusioned with active investment. Once the staple of institutional and retail investment practice, active now has an awful image – one of high cost mediocre offerings. While the rot was initially confined to equity, it has started to seep into fixed income. Here we try to understand why, and offer a simple solution, …

Cracking the Genetic Code of Inflation – the future is “metallic gray”

My ex-colleage and good friend Ken Leech often recounted that “the story of interest rates is the story of inflation”. Put differently, where inflation goes determines where interest rates go. Today, inflation is considered a mystery. Despite the trillions of dollars poured into the US, European and Japanese economies over the past ten years, inflation is …